El Nino End May Mean Hotter Late Summer In Midwest

By Bryce Anderson
DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist

Omaha (DTN) – Pacific Ocean El Nino conditions appear to be ending, which may indicate drier times ahead for the Midwest. That was the message in a review of eastern Pacific temperatures by DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist Mike Palmerino.
The Pacific Basin has maintained weak El Nino-level temperatures, with values of between a half-degree Celsius and 1 degree Celsius above average since September 2018. That run may be over, Palmerino said.
“The (eastern Pacific) sea sur-face temperatures are coming down pretty rapidly right now,” Palmerino said on the DTN Ag Weather Week in Review audio program. “We were looking at, back in the month of May, a departure of seven-tenths of a degree (C) above normal. It’s now down to three-tenths of a degree (C) above normal. So, clearly, temperatures are dropping there. You could say, potentially, that we are not any longer, really, in any sort of an El Nino scenario.”
The timing of this Pacific change is a potent influence on two weather scenes. With El Nino out of the way, subtropical latitude jet stream activity fades – and, along with that decline, tropical storm activity in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico has an opportunity to increase; this coming at a time when Tropical Storm Barry is on track to bring heavy, flooding rain to the lower Mississippi Delta.
“If you can get out of El Nino, it would likely help to support more tropical activity,” said Palmerino.
Farther north, cooling trends in the Pacific Basin have occurred in years when corn yields had notably lower numbers than the previous year. Two prime examples are the years 1988 and 2010, when corn yields were well below the previous crop year’s output. Both those example years featured the Pacific transitioning rapidly from El Nino to La Nina. The reason is that Midwest crop weather went downhill.
“A change in the sea surface temperature departure can be just as important as what the departure is,” said Palmerino. “We have seen in the past that if you are looking at significantly falling sea surface temperatures in the Pacific, that that can dry out the Midwest.”
La Nina is not forecast to develop in the Pacific this growing season. Crops, of course, are already under pressure because of much-delayed planting.
The near-half-degree-Celsius decline in eastern Pacific temperatures is not a guarantee of further sea surface cooling, but it puts observers on point that changes are in the works.
“If these sea surface temperatures do continue to fall significantly over the next month or so... that could lead to drier-than-normal conditions in the Midwest through the rest of the summer,” Palmerino said.

Oklahoma Beef Producers Selected To Participate In Prestigious Leadership Program

Oklahoma City, OK – Twenty Oklahoma beef producers have been selected to be part of class 27 of the Cattlemen’s Leadership Academy (CLA). CLA is a program of the Oklahoma Cattlemen’s Association (OCA) targeted for beef producers ages 25-40 and designed to develop young OCA members through industry exposure, education and association communication.
The CLA Class 27 participants include: Joshua Bagwell, Kingston; Dr. Rosslyn Biggs, Chickasha; Kristen Blase, Lawton; Brooks Braunagel, Ardmore; Colby Christian, Purcell; Jarrod Cole, Kingfisher; Rodney Cook, Orlando; Autumn Fuhrman, Miami; Sheri Glazier, Loyal; Tara Gray, Welch; Caitlin Hebbert, Ardmore; Michael Hodges, Quapaw; Katrina Imhoff, Sparks; Ashley Teel, Blanchard; Heather Underwood, Prague; Caitlyn Ward, Tipton; Duncan Warren, Gracemont; Alton Weathers, Hinton; Blake Wilson, Coyle and Lane Winter, Kingfisher.
“The CLA program is very valuable to our Association and the beef industry,” said Weston Givens, OCA President. “This program helps identify and develop young cattlemen willing to take a leadership role and carry out the OCA’s vision – Leadership that serves, strengthens and advocates for the Oklahoma cattle industry,” Givens said.
CLA consists of a series of four seminars designed to expose participants to leaders from all segments of the industry, including: purebred, cow-calf, backgrounding, dairy, feeding, processing, retail, foodservice, animal health, marketing, finance, etc. The seminars provide participants the opportunity to further explore our business, gain essential information and network with fellow OCA members.
“The first seminar is scheduled for Aug. 5-7 in Oklahoma City and the Dodge City, Kan. area,” said Givens.
The CLA program is completely funded by several generous sponsors including: Merck Animal Health, Oklahoma Ag Credit, Farm Credit of Western Oklahoma, The Noble Research Institute, ABS Global, BancFirst, American Angus Association, Neogen, Oklahoma Beef Council, Farm Data Services, Reproduction Enterprises Inc., Langston’s Western Wear, Frontier Trading, Stuart Farm and Ranch, McKay Ford, National Livestock, Livestock Nutrition Center and BancCentral NA.

35th Anniversary OCA Ranch Rodeo Participating Ranches Announced

Oklahoma City, OK – The Oklahoma Cattlemen’s Association, in partnership with the Oklahoma Ford Dealers is preparing for the 35th Anniversary of the OCA Ranch Rodeo on August 24 and 25 at the Lazy E Arena in Guthrie, Okla.
The OCA Ranch Rodeo consists of twelve ranch teams of ‘real ranch’ cowboys that compete in five different events mirroring many of the activities of daily ranch life.
The 2019 participating ranch teams include: Alfalfa County Land & Cattle, Cherokee, Okla.; Spur Ranch, Vinita, Okla.; Buford Ranches, LLC, Hominy, Okla.; Stuart Ranch, Waurika, Okla.; Drummond Land & Cattle Co., Pawhuska, Okla.; Hall Ranch & Daube Cattle Co., Comanche and Ardmore, Okla.; Treadwell Land & Cattle, Frederick, Okla.; Chain Ranch, Canton, Okla.; Lazy Rafter Slash Ranch, Lenapah, Okla.; Choctaw Nation Ranches, Durant, Okla.; Whitmire Ranch, Delaware, Okla.; and McPhail Land & Cattle, Mountain Park, Okla.
The competition is fierce, but the cowboys don’t take home much more than bumps and bragging rights. They participate with one goal: to support the Children’s Hospital Foundation (CHF).
“CHF has been the benefitting charity of the event since 1997 and in that time the OCA Ranch Rodeo has raised more than $500,000.00 for the Children’s Hospital Foundation,” said Tim Drummond, Chairman of the OCA Ranch Rodeo Committee. “We’ve hosted many ‘Miracle Children’ over the years and met their families. Those connections make our mission real and heart-felt for the participating cowboys and the committee the works to coordinate the event.”
CHF funds children’s medical research and treatment for children right here in Oklahoma. The funds raised for CHF in Oklahoma, stay in Oklahoma. “Over the years, many folks have started calling our event, ‘Cowboys Helping Kids’ and we are proud of that,” said Drummond. “Plan to come watch the show, support the Children’s Hospital Foundation and cheer on your favorite ranch team on Aug. 23 and 24.”
According to Drummond, the Oklahoma Ford Dealers have supported the OCA Ranch Rodeo since the beginning as the presenting sponsor.
“The Oklahoma Ford Dealers believe in our mission and have been extremely loyal over the years,” Drummond said.
The OCA is the trusted voice of the Oklahoma Cattle Industry. OCA is the only voice that speaks solely for the cattlemen of Oklahoma and represents beef producers in all 77 counties across the state. The OCA officers, board of directors and membership encourages you to join us in our advocacy efforts to ensure less government intervention, lower taxes and a better bottom line. For more information about OCA membership, the theft reward program or activities call 405-235-4391 or visit www.okcattlemen.org.

Direct Receipts

Direct Receipts: 77,700

Texas 34,300. 92 over 600 lbs. 47 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 650-700 lbs 145.75; 700-750 lbs 140.00-142.29; 750-800 lbs 138.75; 800-850 lbs 130.34-134.50; 850-900 lbs 129.00-133.25; Aug FOB 750-800 lbs 141.25; Aug-Sept FOB 750-800 lbs 140.42; Nov FOB 800-850 lbs 141.75; Current Del 600-650 lbs 154.00; 650-700 lbs 150.50-151.00; 750-800 lbs 139.00-143.00; 800-850 lbs 132.00; 850-900 lbs 129.00-133.00; 900-950 lbs 128.00; July-Aug Del 750-800 lbs 140.00; 800-850 lbs 137.00; 850-900 lbs 130.00; Aug Del 700-750 lbs 143.00; 850-900 lbs 139.00; Aug-Sept Del 800-850 lbs 135.70 Mex; Oct Del 850-900 lbs 142.00. Medium and Large 1-2 Current FOB 650-700 lbs 141.00; 700-750 lbs 136.36-139.76; 750-800 lbs 133.00-138.00; 800-850 lbs 131.00; 800-850 lbs 129.23; 850-900 lbs 125.23; July-Aug FOB 750-800 lbs 137.45-138.41; Aug FOB 700-750 lbs 139.00; Sept FOB 700-750 lbs 138.84; Current Del 550-600 lbs 141.50-146.00 Mex; 600-650 lbs 145.85-149.00; 650-700 lbs 150.00; 700-750 lbs 141.00; 750-800 lbs 133.00-142.33; 800-850 lbs 133.00; Sept Del 800-850 lbs 139.00; Oct Del 650-700 lbs 148.00; 800-850 lbs 139.60; Nov Del 800-850 lbs 139.25. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 600-650 lbs 134.00; 650-700 lbs 130.50-132.58; 700-750 lbs 129.00-135.00; 750-800 lbs 123.50-131.00; 850-900 lbs 117.79; Aug FOB 600-650 lbs 137.40-143.34; 650-700 lbs 136.25; 700-750 lbs 130.00-133.41; Sept FOB 600-650 lbs 138.40-138.50; 650-700 lbs 134.00-138.80; 700-750 lbs 131.00-134.40; 750-800 lbs 130.50; Oct FOB 700-750 lbs 129.50; Nov FOB 700-750 lbs 135.00; 750-800 lbs 134.75; Current Del 600-650 lbs 140.00-145.00; 650-700 lbs 138.00-140.50; 700-750 lbs 131.00-135.00; 750-800 lbs 131.00-132.00; Aug Del 700-750 lbs 134.20; 750-800 lbs 132.50; 800-850 lbs 133.00-135.00; Sept Del 650-700 lbs 141.00; 700-750 lbs 137.05; 750-800 lbs 132.70-133.00; Oct Del 700-750 lbs 137.05; 750-800 lbs 132.60; 800-850 lbs 138.00; Nov Del 750-800 lbs 132.25.

Oklahoma 6200. 97 over 600 lbs. 19 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 600-650 lbs 150.00; 650-700 lbs 149.00; 850-900 lbs 130.50-132.00; Current Del 800-850 lbs 137.00; 850-900 lbs 128.50; Aug FOB 700-750 lbs 141.00; Aug-Sept FOB 800-850 lbs 132.74; Medium and Large 1-2 Current FOB 600-650 lbs 144.79-145.00; 700-750 lbs 138.79; 750-800 lbs 135.00-137.00; 800-850 lbs 130.00. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 600-650 lbs 136.00; 700-750 lbs 133.00-133.50; 750-800 lbs 131.00; July FOB 600-650 lbs 143.00. Medium and Large 1-2 Current FOB 650-700 lbs 134.79; 700-750 lbs 125.79.

New Mexico 2200. 100 over 600 lbs. 95 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1-2 Current FOB 800-850 lbs 131.00. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 Aug Fob 750-800 lbs 132.00; Sept FOB 700-750 lbs 136.05; Oct FOB 700-750 lbs 136.05. Medium and Large 1-2 Current FOB 700-750 lbs 130.00; 700-750 lbs 127.00.

Kansas 17,500. 100 over 600 lbs. 11 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 850-900 lbs 133.50; Aug-Sept FOB 800-850 lbs 137.66; Nov FOB 850-900 lbs 135.50. Medium and Large 1-2 Current Del 600-650 lbs 147.00; 700-750 lbs 141.00; 800-850 lbs 134.00. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 Current FOB 700-750 lbs 130.50; 750-800 lbs 130.00; Aug FOB 700-750 lbs 134.50. Medium and Large 1-2 Current Del 600-650 lbs 141.00; 650-700 lbs 137.00; 700-750 lbs 128.00; Aug Del 600-650 lbs 134.00; Oct Del 600-650 lbs 134.00.

National Feeder Cattle Summary

St. Joseph, MO — July 12
National feeder cattle receipts: 135,700

Steers and heifers sold steady to $5 higher earlier in the week, while later week sales were quoted from $3-10 higher. Demand was good to very good on moderate supply this first week after Independence Day. Market activity at special sales throughout the country was strong, especially after July’s 9 rally on the CME Feeder Board and traders quickly and aggressively moved back into the market. On July 10 at Bassett (NE) Livestock Auction, many reputation one iron branded cattle were on offer and demanded some lofty prices. Over 1,000 head of 900-950 lbs steers on offer there had a top price paid of $153.75 and a load of 581 lbs Fancy grazing steers sold at $200.50. Buyers wanted those cattle and were not fazed when it came to getting their hand in the air. Western Video Market held their three-day sale in Reno, NV with near 118,000 head sold and Superior Livestock offered 209,000 head during their Week in the Rockies Sale held in Loveland, CO. So ranchers were ready and willing to sell cattle out front with the market getting a little bounce. It appears the packer needs inventory and the fed cattle market is bracing for a higher market. Market ready fed cattle supplies in the Northern Plains are very current and for the time being will remain that way while the Southern Plains will more than likely remain at a discount because of large numbers of cattle on feed. Market support has been building on increased trade that has returned since the 4th of July Holiday. Steer carcass weights for week ending June 29 were flat with the previous week’s 854 lbs, further suggesting the overall currentness of fed cattle in the country. That week was represented the second largest fed cattle harvest of 2019. Even though the cutout has turned lower, packer margins are reading on the positive side despite having to increase bids to get cattle purchased. For the week, the Choice cutout closed $4.87 lower at $212.80 while Select was $5.20 lower at $189.60. Cattle Slaughter under federal inspection estimated at 655K for the week, 82K more than July 4 (Holiday) and 5K more than a year ago.

Texas 3900. 75 pct over 600 lbs. 42 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 550-600 lbs (560) 155.32; 600-650 lbs (623) 153.08; 650-700 lbs (685) 146.01; 700-750 lbs (724) 144.45; 750-800 lbs (773) 137.18; 800-850 lbs (830) 131.87; 850-900 lbs (882) 130.17; 900-950 lbs (937) 127.20; 950-1000 lbs (956) 124.04; pkg 1056 lbs 120.50. Medium and Large 1-2 450-500 lbs (477) 155.96; 500-550 lbs (515) 143.32; 550-600 lbs (585) 142.42; 600-650 lbs (620) 141.11; 700-750 lbs (719) 132.64; 750-800 lbs (765) 136.43. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 550-600 lbs (558) 136.17; 600-650 lbs (642) 128.26; 650-700 lbs (671) 132.21; 750-800 lbs (772) 125.80; part load 820 lbs 117.25. Medium and Large 1-2 500-550 lbs (536) 130.24; 550-600 lbs (568) 124.48; 600-650 lbs (625) 125.77; 650-700 lbs (677) 126.15; 750-800 lbs (760) 122.27.

Oklahoma 2800. 78 pct over 600 lbs. 33 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 300-350 lbs (323) 184.14; 350-400 lbs (377) 171.48; 400-450 lbs (428) 168.16; 450-500 lbs (476) 163.82; 500-550 lbs (523) 158.00; 550-600 lbs (568) 153.92; 600-650 lbs (625) 148.43; 650-700 lbs (674) 149.06; 700-750 lbs (731) 143.51; 750-800 lbs (773) 143.22; 800-850 lbs (823) 139.33; 850-900 lbs (865) 138.03; 900-950 lbs (916) 130.13; 950-1000 lbs (973) 128.23; 1000-1050 lbs (1020) 128.32; 1050-1100 lbs (1068) 117.25; 1100-1150 lbs (1118) 117.04. Medium and Large 1-2 350-400 lbs (369) 168.92; 400-450 lbs (422) 160.29; 450-500 lbs (470) 150.15; 500-550 lbs (529) 149.71; 550-600 lbs (585) 144.33; 600-650 lbs (629) 147.34; 650-700 lbs (672) 143.01; 700-750 lbs (735) 141.38; 750-800 lbs (777) 138.56; 800-850 lbs (836) 134.14; 850-900 lbs (872) 131.01; 900-950 lbs (926) 125.21; 950-1000 lbs (984) 120.87; 1000-1050 lbs (1022) 119.95; part load 1081 lbs 112.00. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 250-300 lbs (284) 164.97; 300-350 lbs (329) 144.73; 350-400 lbs (374) 151.64; 400-450 lbs (428) 150.18; 450-500 lbs (473) 144.28; 500-550 lbs (524) 139.95; 550-600 lbs (577) 136.34; 600-650 lbs (622) 135.98; 650-700 lbs (673) 134.30; 700-750 lbs (721) 133.86; 750-800 lbs (768) 129.89; 800-850 lbs (823) 127.67; 850-900 lbs (870) 122.83; 900-950 lbs (918) 123.83; 950-1000 lbs (984) 114.52; part load 1023 lbs 115.50. Medium and Large 1-2 350-400 lbs (363) 150.56; 400-450 lbs (419) 141.96; 450-500 lbs (475) 133.36; 500-550 lbs (527) 133.39; 550-600 lbs (584) 133.97; 600-650 lbs (631) 132.79; 650-700 lbs (682) 130.97; 700-750 lbs (727) 131.08; 750-800 lbs (774) 126.87; 800-850 lbs (822) 122.60; 850-900 lbs (880) 120.67; 900-950 lbs (925) 111.07; pkg 973 lbs 111.50.

New Mexico 2600. 42 pct over 600 lbs. 46 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 450-500 lbs (483) 164.62; 500-550 lbs (525) 156.09; 600-650 lbs (629) 140.80; 650-700 lbs (675) 141.72; 750-800 lbs (777) 135.00; 800-850 lbs (826) 130.34. Medium and Large 1-2 400-450 lbs (428) 168.07; 500-550 lbs (527) 153.51; 600-650 lbs (634) 146.32; 650-700 lbs (663) 138.51; 700-750 lbs (723) 138.62; 750-800 lbs (791) 131.90. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 450-500 lbs (472) 139.57; 550-600 lbs (579) 132.60; 600-650 lbs (614) 129.76. Medium and Large 1-2 400-450 lbs (424) 141.62; 450-500 lbs (473) 140.70; 500-550 lbs (526) 132.91; 650-700 lbs (660) 123.17; 700-750 lbs (719) 124.14.

Kansas 3500. 89 pct over 600 lbs. 45 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 400-450 lbs (427) 183.15; 500-550 lbs (522) 168.33; 600-650 lbs (630) 164.73; 650-700 lbs (669) 155.84; 700-750 lbs (716) 152.04; 750-800 lbs (782) 148.37; 800-850 lbs (837) 143.95; 850-900 lbs (879) 136.80; 900-950 lbs (930) 131.40; 950-1000 lbs (976) 132.72; pkg 1046 lbs 128.25; 1050-1100 lbs (1059) 122.92. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 350-400 lbs (369) 166.08; 400-450 lbs (427) 157.01; 500-550 lbs (520) 146.30; 550-600 lbs (577) 155.69; 600-650 lbs (636) 145.78; 650-700 lbs (665) 143.49; 700-750 lbs (727) 136.99; 750-800 lbs (759) 135.58; 800-850 lbs (819) 130.68; 900-950 lbs (935) 120.59; 950-1000 lbs (994) 116.28.

Missouri 1860. 50 pct over 600 lbs. 41 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 300-350 lbs (338) 169.53; 350-400 lbs (380) 165.93; 400-450 lbs (427) 167.66; 450-500 lbs (474) 165.67; 500-550 lbs (521) 161.70; 550-600 lbs (574) 157.50; 600-650 lbs (629) 151.75; 650-700 lbs (674) 150.09; 700-750 lbs (726) 146.94; 750-800 lbs (762) 146.66; 800-850 lbs (832) 140.47; 850-900 lbs (873) 137.39; pkg 937 lbs 126.25. Medium and Large 1-2 350-400 lbs (377) 170.92; 400-450 lbs (427) 160.63; 450-500 lbs (478) 158.21; 500-550 lbs (528) 152.98; 550-600 lbs (572) 148.75; 600-650 lbs (622) 146.47; 650-700 lbs (675) 141.18; 700-750 lbs (724) 137.72; 750-800 lbs (768) 135.05; 800-850 lbs (828) 125.33; 850-900 lbs (886) 126.50; 900-950 lbs (910) 124.37. Dairy Steers: Large 3 pkg 803 lbs 69.50. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 350-400 lbs (382) 148.08; 400-450 lbs (429) 146.42; 450-500 lbs (474) 145.83; 500-550 lbs (525) 139.43; 550-600 lbs (576) 141.13; 600-650 lbs (629) 135.99; 650-700 lbs (677) 132.60; 700-750 lbs (723) 133.90; 750-800 lbs (783) 131.73; 800-850 lbs (828) 121.05. Medium and Large 1-2 300-350 lbs (325) 145.77; 350-400 lbs (381) 138.10; 400-450 lbs (424) 137.97; 450-500 lbs (480) 136.51; 500-550 lbs (525) 134.76; 550-600 lbs (571) 134.41; 600-650 lbs (629) 131.54; 650-700 lbs (664) 127.06; 700-750 lbs (721) 127.97; 750-800 lbs (772) 122.59; 800-850 lbs (825) 114.60; 850-900 lbs (871) 116.01; 900-950 lbs (914) 114.77.

Arkansas 5700. 28 pct over 600 lbs. 43 pct heifers. Steers: Medium and Large 1 300-350 lbs (320) 168.76; 350-400 lbs (373) 165.00; 400-450 lbs (424) 158.09; 450-500 lbs (470) 147.89; 500-550 lbs (524) 147.39; 550-600 lbs (571) 141.01; 600-650 lbs (624) 137.65; 650-700 lbs (679) 137.38; 700-750 lbs (720) 126.30. Medium and Large 1-2 pkg 762 lbs 132.75; part load 824 lbs 140.00; part load 890 lbs 133.50. Heifers: Medium and Large 1 300-350 lbs (329) 148.96; 350-400 lbs (374) 146.60; 400-450 lbs (424) 141.03; 450-500 lbs (468) 135.74; 500-550 lbs (521) 131.62; 550-600 lbs (569) 128.32; 600-650 lbs (622) 125.82; 650-700 lbs (672) 121.10; 700-750 lbs (713) 119.24. Medium and Large 1-2 450-500 lbs (477) 135.23; 550-600 lbs (573) 129.58; 700-750 lbs (713) 119.25.

 

 

 

 

 

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Friday, July 19, 2019 1:26 PM